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The studies indicated the universe would expand forever. This was contrary to some theories that a universe that began with a ''big bang'' would eventually collapse in on itself and end with a ''big crunch.''
Science, the journal of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, selected the astronomy research as the most important of the top 10 discoveries in 1998.
Astronomers from the University of Washington, Seattle, and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in Berkeley, Calif., independently came to the same conclusion about an expanding, accelerating universe. Their studies have since been confirmed by others.
''Rarely could we expect a dramatic breakthrough in one of these grand, fundamental questions,'' Science Editor in Chief Floyd E. Bloom wrote in an editorial. ''Yet this year, early but hard evidence has shown that the universe is flying apart at ever-greater rates.''
Bloom said the finding challenges assumptions about the basic nature of the universe and resurrects an idea conceived and discarded by Albert Einstein - that there is a repulsive force that works the opposite of gravity. Such a force would help explain why the stars and galaxies are moving apart.
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
December 17, 1998
The Supernova Cosmology Project, based at Berkeley Lab and headed by Saul Perlmutter of the Physics Division, shares the citation with the High-z Supernova Search Team led by Brian Schmidt of Australia's Mount Stromlo and Siding Spring Observatories. Both teams are international collaborations, with researchers in England, France, Germany, and Sweden among the members of the Supernova Cosmology Project.
Energy Secretary Bill Richardson expressed pride in the accomplishment on behalf of the Department of Energy (DOE), which funds the country's national laboratory system.
"This brilliant example of quality research by DOE-supported scientists represents an important advance in our understanding of the universe," Richardson said. "It's impressive payback, in terms of advancing human knowledge and developing promising new technologies, for this country's investment in basic science research."
Berkeley Lab Director Charles Shank concurs. "We are proud of Berkeley Lab's contributions to this dramatic accomplishment," he says. "This achievement is yet another example of how painstaking, imaginative, basic research can advance humankind's knowledge of our universe, with the promise of impacts on our lives that we can only begin to imagine." (See expanded quotes from Richardson and Shank.)
Says Perlmutter, "A DOE facility like Berkeley Lab is a unique place that brings together many different areas of expertise -- particle physicists, astrophysicists, computer scientists, and engineers were all vital to our program. Just as important, the Lab environment allows research to continue over a long time. We worked ten years before we finally got the answers to our questions."
By comparing the distance of these exploding stars with the redshifts of their home galaxies, researchers can calculate how fast the universe was expanding at different times in its history. Good results depend upon observing many type Ia supernovae, both near and far. Employing supercomputer facilities at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC) located at Berkeley Lab, the Supernova Cosmology Project has fully analyzed the first 42 out of the more than 80 supernovae it has discovered, and more analysis is in progress.
Type Ia supernovae are rare -- in a typical galaxy they may occur only two or three times in a thousand years -- and to be useful they must be detected while they are still brightening. Before the Supernova Cosmology Project employed search techniques developed during the first five years of its existence, finding supernovae was a haphazard proposition, which made it difficult to secure telescope time to observe them.
"It was a chicken and egg problem," says Perlmutter. "To get telescope time, you had to guarantee you were going to find a supernova. But without time on a major telescope, it was impossible to show that they were there, and that we could find them." Then, in the early 1990s, the group developed a new strategy that assured discovery of numerous supernovae "on demand."
Project member Peter Nugent notes that "this guarantees that we will have supernovae to study during the best nights for observation, right before the new moon." He adds, "Type Ia supernovae are so similar, whether nearby or far away, that the time at which an explosion started can be determined just from looking at its spectrum. Type Ia supernovae which exploded when the universe was half its present age behave the same as they do today."
By 1994 the Supernova Cosmology Project had proved repeatedly that, with this search technique, a few nights on the world's best telescopes dependably resulted in many new supernova discoveries.
"While some of us are surveying distant galaxies from the Cerro Tololo Interamerican Observatory (CTIO) in the Chilean Andes, others in Berkeley are retrieving the data over the Internet and analyzing it to find supernovae," says project member Greg Aldering. "Then, with the powerful Keck Telescope in Hawaii -- designed by physicists and engineers at Berkeley Lab -- we confirm spectra and measure redshifts. We call the Hubble Space Telescope into action to study the most distant supernovae, as these require much more accurate measurements than we can get from the ground."
Among the supernovae discovered by the Supernova Cosmology Project are the most distant, and therefore the most ancient, ever seen. In the Jan. 1, 1998 issue of Nature magazine, Perlmutter and his colleagues announced that a supernova with a redshift of 0.83, equivalent to an age of seven billion years, had been found using the National Science Foundation's CTIO and the Keck telescopes and subsequently observed by NASA's Hubble Space Telescope. In October 1998, the team used the Keck Telescope to discover a supernova dramatically more distant still; details of this discovery will be discussed at the American Astronomical Society meetings in Austin, Texas early in January. (See sidebar.)
There was also the possibility, unlikely as it seemed, that some intrinsic property of empty space was in play, something called the cosmological constant -- a term originally proposed by Einstein in 1917, in an attempt to balance the equations of General Relativity and preserve a picture of a stable universe that would neither expand nor collapse on itself. A dozen years after Einstein introduced the cosmological constant, astronomer Edwin Hubble found that the universe is indeed expanding; Einstein dismissed his cosmological constant idea as "the biggest blunder of my life."
But observations of distant type Ia supernovae place them significantly farther away than would be expected from their redshifts, suggesting that Einstein recanted too soon. Something is pushing everything farther apart faster than it did in the early universe. The cosmological constant is the best candidate.
Says Perlmutter, "It's important to have two competing teams; it keeps us all from fooling ourselves about what we're really seeing and what it really means." He jokes that so far the two competing groups "are in remarkably violent agreement."
Barring change in the value of lambda -- whose exact nature remains a mystery -- the universe will expand forever. But that conclusion is not being taken for granted.
"We are now searching for more supernovae with high redshifts in order to get more information about the early universe," says team member Robert Knop. "But we are also looking for supernovae with low redshifts -- nearby supernovae -- to make sure that young and old type Ia supernovae are essentially the same, and make for dependable standard candles. We want to be sure we aren't being fooled by interstellar dust dimming the supernovae, or that stellar explosions weren't somehow weaker in the distant past. So far we haven't found anything to shake our confidence, but this is such an unexpected discovery that we'll keep looking for any loopholes."
Using the world's best telescopes, including the Keck Telescope and the Hubble Space Telescope, Berkeley Lab's Supernova Cosmology Project continues to pursue studies aimed at confirming these astonishing results.
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
December 17, 1998
Supernova Albinoni was found on the night of October 15, 1998 at the 10-meter Keck II Telescope on Mauna Kea, Hawaii, a telescope designed and engineered at Berkeley Lab. Supernova Cosmology Project team members used the group's method of comparing two sets of images of the deep sky to capture supernovae "on demand." In September, reference images had been made of distant galaxies in the northern constellation Pegasus; in October the same areas were imaged again. Albinoni had appeared in the meantime and revealed itself when the images were compared.
"For our study of the expansion of the universe, we depend upon a special kind of supernova called type Ia," Perlmutter explains. "These are not only very bright, and thus visible at great distances, they also provide a precise standard of brightness wherever they occur. So we can use their apparent brightness to tell us how far away they are."
On October 26, nine days after the supernova was first detected, both the Keck II Telescope and NASA's Hubble Space Telescope were trained on Albinoni and its home galaxy to obtain spectral color information, in order to identify the type of supernova it was and the redshift of its galaxy.
"After our first 30-minute exposure, I noticed the spectral feature of a galaxy at redshift 1.2," says team member Greg Aldering -- which implied an object at an astonishing distance from Earth. To confirm the observation, additional hours of telescope time and several days of analysis of the weak spectrum were needed. "By the end of that week we had irrefutable proof that Albinoni was a type Ia supernova at redshift 1.2."
Thereafter the researchers secured more observation time on both the Keck Telescope and the Hubble Space Telescope in order to glean additional information from its distant, weak light to be used in studies of the expansion of the universe. The Supernova Cosmology Project calculates the rate of this expansion by comparing the distance of type Ia supernovae, derived from their apparent brightness, with the redshifts of their home galaxies.
After comparing values for many type Ia supernovae in nearby galaxies with more distant galaxies, the team announced in January of 1998 that the expansion of the universe is accelerating. In addition to showing that there is not enough mass in the universe for gravitation ever to stop the expansion, the discovery implied that an unknown property of space, called the cosmological constant and first proposed by Albert Einstein, is acting to expand space itself. This discovery was named by Science magazine as the "Breakthrough of the Year."
Supernova Albinoni serves as the most distant point yet on the Supernova Cosmology Project's graph. Its redshift indicates that the universe is now at least 2.2 times bigger than when Albinoni exploded. By the Supernova Cosmology Project's best current model, Albinoni is almost 10 billion years in age and 18 billion light-years distant.
Although supernovae are not formally named after famous people, the Supernova Cosmology Project found so many in 1998 that it became hard to distinguish among them on the basis of letter-number designations. Perlmutter and team member Robert Knop, both classical violinists, had the first crack at assigning nicknames and have named supernovae candidates after Bartok, Brahms, Elgar, Wagner, and even John Cage. But the most eminent superstar in this stellar collection is Albinoni, named after the 17th and 18th-century Venetian composer Tomaso Albinoni -- a star with a much classier moniker than its prosaic official catalogue number, SN1998eq.
The Berkeley Lab is a U.S. Department of Energy national laboratory located in Berkeley, California. It conducts unclassified scientific research and is managed by the University of California.
ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY
Date: 18 December 1998
The Supernova Cosmology Project, led at Cambridge by Professor Richard Ellis, Dr Richard McMahon and Dr Mike Irwin, and at Berkeley by Dr Saul Perlmutter, shares the citation with the High-z Supernova Search Team, another international collaboration involving astronomers in Australia, Germany and the USA.
The surprising discovery that the expansion of the universe is accelerating - and hence likely to go on expanding forever - is based on observations of stellar explosions known as type Ia supernovae. These supernovae all have the same intrinsic brightness. This means that their apparent brightness as observed from Earth reveals their distance.
By comparing the distance of these exploding stars with the redshifts of their host galaxies, researchers can calculate how fast the universe was expanding at different times in its history. Good results depend upon observing many type Ia supernovae, both near and far. The Supernova Cosmology Project has fully analysed the first 42 out of more than 80 supernovae it has discovered, and more analysis is in progress.
Type Ia supernovae are rare. In a typical galaxy they may occur only two or three times in a thousand years. And to be useful they must be detected within a week or two of the explosion, while the supernova is still increasing in brightness. Prior to implementation of search techniques developed by the Supernova Cosmology Project during the first five years of its existence, finding supernovae - even those in relatively nearby galaxies - was a haphazard proposition which made it difficult to secure telescope time to observe them.
"The most important technical breakthrough was the agreement between Cambridge and Berkeley to employ a new panoramic camera, produced by Perlmutter's group, on UK telescopes in the Canary Islands." adds Cambridge astronomer Richard McMahon. "Our team was then able to develop a new strategy that assured discovery of numerous supernovae 'on demand'."
"This guarantees that we will have supernovae to study during the best nights for observation, right before the new moon," says project member Richard McMahon. He adds, "Type Ia supernovae are so similar, whether nearby or far away, that the time at which an explosion started can be determined by simply looking at its spectrum. Type Ia supernovae which exploded when the universe was half its present age behave the same as they do today."
Among the supernovae discovered by the Supernova Cosmology Project are the most distant, and therefore the most ancient, ever seen. In 1997, the Cambridge-Berkeley team announced that a supernova with a redshift of 0.83, equivalent to an age of seven billion years, had been found using the CTIO and Keck telescopes and subsequently observed by the Hubble Space Telescope.
As early as 1994, as their early supernova discoveries began to accumulate, members of the Supernova Cosmology Project developed key analytic techniques that could be used to interpret supernova measurements and thereby determine the cause of the expansion rate of the universe. At the time almost everybody assumed that the universe was slowing down, due to gravity acting on the matter in the universe. The question was how quickly was it slowing? What is the mass density of the universe? And, finally, is there enough mass density to eventually reverse the expansion, leading to a "big crunch" finale for the universe.
But observations of distant type Ia supernovae placed them significantly farther away than expected from their redshifts, suggesting that Einstein spoke too soon. Something is pushing everything farther apart faster than it did in the early universe. The cosmological constant is the best candidate.
Thus instead of slowing down, as everybody had expected, the expansion of the universe is in fact speeding up. In early January 1998 the Supernova Cosmology Project presented the first compelling evidence that the expansion of the universe is accelerating and that this acceleration is due to the cosmological constant, known by the Greek letter lambda, which may represent as much as 70 percent of the total mass-energy density of the universe. Subsequently, the High-z Supernova Search Team announced that they had found the same result in their data. Barring change in the value of lambda - whose exact nature remains a mystery - the universe will expand forever.
"We are now searching for more supernovae with high redshifts in order to get more information about the early universe," says team member Richard McMahon. "But, we are also looking for supernovae with low redshifts - nearby supernovae - to make sure that young and old type Ia supernovae are essentially the same, and make for dependable standard candles. We want to be sure we aren't being fooled by interstellar dust dimming the supernovae, or stellar explosions that are somehow weaker in the distant past. So far we haven't found anything to shake our confidence, but this is such an unexpected discovery that we'll keep looking for any loopholes."
Using the world's best telescopes, including the Keck Telescope, the Hubble Space Telescope and the UK's Isaac Newton Group's telescopes on the Canary Islands, the Supernova Cosmology Project continues to pursue studies aimed at confirming these astonishing results.
PRINCETON UNIVERSITY
January 8, 1998
Fourteen radio galaxies with redshifts between zero and two were used for this study. All of the radio galaxies included in the study are classical double radio sources similar to the nearby radio galaxy Cygnus A. Such classical double radio sources are cigar-shaped, with a black hole at the center and a radio "hot spot" at either end of the gaseous cigar. Astrophysicists consider the size of a classical double radio galaxy to be the distance between the two radio hot spots.
Previous work by the Princeton group had established that all classical double radio galaxies at a given redshift, or distance from earth, are of similar maximum or characteristic size; this size depends on the inverse of the distance from earth. The apparent characteristic or maximum size of the full population of radio galaxies at the same redshift depends on the distance to the sources. Thus, equating the two measures of the characteristic or maximum size of the sources allows an estimate of the distance to the sources. Knowing this distance is equivalent to knowing the global geometry of the universe, or the ultimate fate of the universe. This new work measures more radio galaxies, and radio galaxies at higher redshift, or greater distance from earth; it also involves more sophisticated statistical manipulations of the measurements.
The apparent size, or distance from hotspot to hotspot, of a high redshift radio galaxy is a clue to which of the competing models of the nature of the universe is most likely. A relatively small size at great distance from earth would suggest a universe that will halt its current expansion and recollapse; a larger size suggests a universe that will continue to expand forever, but at an ever decreasing rate; an even larger size suggests the universe will continue to expand, and will expand at a faster and faster rate. The current work finds that at high redshift the galaxies are very large, with widely separated radio hotspots. Thus, the universe will continue to expand forever and will expand at a faster and faster rate as time goes by.
The only other tool currently being used to investigate the global geometry of the universe is the maximum brightness of supernovae. These new measurements obtained using radio galaxies are derived by methods entirely different than the supernovae method, yet yield essentially the same result. "We can say, with 95% confidence, that the universe is open and will continue to expand forever," says Daly.
Daly and collaborators have identified 62 additional classical double radio galaxies with redshifts between zero and two that can be used to more tightly constrain the global geometry of the universe. They are moving forward with an observing program at the Very Large Array (VLA) in New Mexico to obtain the radio surface brightness maps that are needed to determine the characteristic size of each source. This will allow even more detailed measurements of the global geometry of the universe.
The same sources may be used to study evolution of gas in clusters of galaxies, and the Princeton group (including doctoral students Lin Wan and Greg Wellman) has used the sources to study evolution of clusters of galaxies to redshifts of two.
This work was supported by the National Science Foundation through a Graduate Student Fellowship to Guerra, and a National Young Investigator Award to Daly. The work was also funded by the Independent College Fund of New Jersey.
The URL for the figure showing our data points relative to
expectations of 3 illustrative models of the universe (courtesy of
Dr. Lin Wan) is .
The URLs for the false color and grey scale images of Cygnus A
(courtesy of Dr. Chris Carilli) are
http://pulsar.princeton.edu/~eddie/cyga.gif
and
http://www.nrao.edu/~gtaylor/cyga6cm.jpg respectively.
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
January 8, 1998
"Distant supernovae provide natural mile-marker which can be used to
measure trends in the cosmic expansion," says Saul Perlmutter, leader
of the project, who presented the team's research Jan. 8 at the annual
meeting of the American Astronomical Society. "All the indications from
our observations of supernovae spanning a large range of distances are
that we live in a universe that will expand forever. Apparently there isn't
enough mass in the universe for its gravity to slow the expansion, which
started with the Big Bang, to a halt."
This result rests on analysis of 40 of the roughly 65 supernovae so far
discovered by the Supernova Cosmology Project. Exploding stars known
as supernovae are so intrinsically bright that their light is visible half-way
across the observable universe. By the time the light of the most distant
supernova explosions so far discovered by the team reached telescopes
on earth, some seven billion years had passed since the stars exploded.
After such a journey the starlight is feeble, and its wavelength has been
stretched by the expansion of the universe, a phenomenon known as
redshift. By comparing the faint light of distant supernovae to that of bright
nearby supernovae, researchers could tell how far the light had traveled.
Distances combined with redshifts of the supernovae give the rate of
expansion of the universe over its history, allowing a determination of
how much the expansion rate is slowing.
The deceleration measurement depends on the remarkable predictability
of a kind of supernova called "Type Ia," whose explosions are triggered
when a dying white dwarf star pulls too much gas off a neighboring red
giant, igniting a thermonuclear explosion that rips the white dwarf apart.
"A Type Ia supernova can shine brighter than an entire galaxy, but only for
a month or so before it becomes too faint for even the largest telescopes
to observe at these distances," says Gerson Goldhaber, a Berkeley Lab
researcher. Although not all Type Ia supernova have the same brightness,
their intrinsic brightness can be determined by examining how quickly
each supernova fades.
In fact, Type Ia supernovae seen in nearby galaxies are so predictable
that, as Berkeley Lab's Peter Nugent explains, "the time at which the
supernova explosion started can be determined just from looking at a
spectrum. When we studied even the most distant of our supernovae, we
found they had just the right spectrum on just the right day of the
explosion. This tells us that Type Ia supernovae which exploded when
the universe was half its present age behave essentially the same as
they do today."
This result, reported in the January 1 issue of the science journal Nature,
is crucial, since using supernovae as milestones rests on the comparison
of nearby supernovae to distant ones. If the properties of supernovae
were different when the universe was young it would confuse the
comparison.
Because the most distant supernova explosions appear so faint from
earth, last for such a short time, and occur at unpredictable intervals, the
Supernova Cosmology Project team had to develop a tightly
choreographed sequence of observations to be performed at telescopes
around the world and, more recently, the Hubble Space Telescope.
"We are studying cosmic fireworks that fade away within weeks, so we
have to move fast," says team member Greg Aldering. "While some team
members are surveying distant galaxies using the largest telescope in
the Andes Mountains of Chile, others in Berkeley are retrieving that data
over the Internet and analyzing it to find supernovae. Once we find likely
supernovae we rush out to Hawaii to confirm that they are supernovae
and measure their redshifts using the Keck telescope, the world's largest.
"Meanwhile, team members at telescopes outside Tucson and on the
Canary Islands are standing by to measure the supernovae as they fade
away. The Hubble Space Telescope is called into action to study the most
distant of our supernovae, since they are too hard to accurately measure
from the ground."
Between Christmas of 1997 and the New Year, the Supernova Cosmology
Project discovered even more deep-space supernovae, which they will
use to check the results they reported Jan. 8. The Hubble Space
Telescope is obtaining very precise measurements for four of these this
week, even as the results from previous supernovae are being reported.
Speaking today at the American Astronomical Society meeting, Robert
Knop of the Berkeley Lab said "This is our most successful supernova
search yet -- our own brand of New Year's fireworks. We found over 15
supernovae, including the most distant ever confirmed with spectroscopic
identification. These explosions occurred about seven billion years ago
and the light has only just reached us this past week."
Team member Ariel Goobar of the University of Stockholm says,
"Reaching out to these most distant supernovae teaches us about the
'Cosmological Constant,' which Einstein once called his greatest
mistake" -- because if the newly discovered supernovae confirm the story
told by the previous 40, astrophysicists may have to invoke Einstein's
cosmological constant to obtain agreement with the popular inflation
theory which explains how the universe developed shortly after the Big
Bang. In other words, at least in the past some unknown force worked
against gravity to produce the observed rate of expansion.
Such questions can only be addressed using supernovae so far away that
only the Hubble Space Telescope can measure them, both those already
observed and those yet to be found.
The work of the Supernova Cosmology Project has made extensive use of
the Cerro Tololo Interamerican Observatory in Chile and the Wisconsin-
Yale-NOAO telescope on Kitt Peak, both supported by the National
Science Foundation, as well as the Keck 10-meter telescope in Hawaii,
the William Hershel Telescope and Isaac Newton Telescopes on the
Canary Islands, and of course NASA's Hubble Space Telescope.
The research is supported at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
by the United States Department of Energy and the National Science
Foundation's Center for Particle Astrophysics.
The Berkeley Lab is a U.S. Department of Energy national laboratory
located in Berkeley, California. It conducts unclassified scientific research
and is managed by the University of California.
California Institute of Technology
Dr. Neill Reid, using information collected by the European Space Agency's
Hipparcos satellite, has determined that a key distance measure used to
compute the age of certain Milky Way stars is off by 10 to 15 percent. The
new data leads to the conclusion that the oldest stars are actually 11 to 13
billion years old, rather than 16 to 18 billion years old, as had been
thought.
The new results will be of great interest to cosmologists, Reid says,
because estimates of the age of the universe, based on tracking back the
current rate of expansion, suggest that the Big Bang occurred no more than
about 13 billion years ago. Therefore, astronomers will no longer be
confronted with the nettling discrepancy between the ages of stars and the
age of the universe.
"This gives us an alternate way of estimating the age of the universe," says
Reid. "The ideal situation would be to have the same answer, independently
given by stellar modeling and cosmology."
Reid's method focuses on a type of star (known as subdwarfs) found in
globular clusters, which are spherical accumulations of hundreds of
thousands of individual stars. These have long been known to be among the
earliest objects to form in the universe, since the stars are composed
mainly of the primordial elements hydrogen and helium, and because the
clusters themselves are distributed throughout a sphere 100,000 light-years
in diameter, rather than confined, like the sun, within the flattened
pancake of the galactic disk. Astronomers can determine quantitative ages
for the clusters by measuring the luminosity (the intrinsic brightness) of
the brightest sunlike stars in each cluster. Those measurements require that
the distances to the clusters be known accurately.
Reid looked at some 30 stars within about 200 light-years of Earth. Using
the Hipparcos satellite, he was able to obtain very accurate distances to
these stars by the parallax method. Parallax is a common method for
determining relatively nearby objects. Just as a tree 10 feet away will seem
to shift its position against the distant background when an observer closes
one eye and then the other, a nearby star will shift its position slightly
if the observer waits six months for Earth to reach the opposite side of its
orbit. And if the distance between the two observing sites (the baseline) is
known very accurately, the observer can then compute the distance to the
object by treating the object and the two observing sites as a giant
triangle.
Reid chose the 30 stars for special study (out of the 100,000 for which
Hipparcos obtained parallax data) because they, like the globular cluster
stars, are composed primarily of hydrogen and helium. Thus, these stars also
can be assumed to be very old, and may indeed themselves once have been
members of globulars that were torn apart as they orbited the galaxy.
Once distances have been measured, these nearby stars act as standard
candles whose brightness can be compared to similar stars in the globular
clusters. While this is a well-known technique, older investigations were
only able to use lower-accuracy, pre-Hipparcos parallaxes for 10 of the 30
stars.
Reid's conclusion is that the clusters are about 10 to 15 percent farther
from Earth than previously thought. This, in turn, means that the stars in
those clusters are actually about 20 percent brighter than previously
thought, because luminosity falls off as distance increases. Brighter stars
have shorter lifetimes, so this means that the clusters themselves must be
younger than once assumed.
British astronomers Michael Feast and Robin Catchpole recently arrived at
very similar conclusions, also based on new data from Hipparcos, but using a
different, and less direct, line of argument. They used new measurements of
a type of variable known as Cepheids to determine a revised distance to the
Large Magellanic Cloud, a galaxy orbiting the Milky Way.
Feast and Catchpole used another type of variable star, the RR Lyrae
variables, to bridge between the LMC and globular clusters. The fact that
these two independent methods give the same answer makes that answer more
believable, says Reid.
"Most people previously believed that 14 billion years was the youngest age
you could have for these stars," Reid says. "I think it's now accurate to
say that the oldest you could make them is 14 billion years.
"No longer are we faced with the paradox of a universe younger than its
stellar constituents," says Reid.
The work is set to appear in July in the Astrophysical Journal.
European Space Agency
14 February 1997
This ruler relies on the brightnesses of winking stars called Cepheids, but
the distances of the nearest examples, which calibrate the ruler, could only
be estimated. Direct measurements by Hipparcos imply that the Cepheids are
more luminous and more distant than previously imagined.
The brightnesses of Cepheids seen in other galaxies are used as a guide to
their distances. All of these galaxies may now be judged to lie farther
away. At the same time the Hipparcos Cepheid scale drastically reduces the
ages of the oldest stars, to about 11 billion years. By a tentative
interpretation the Universe is perhaps 12 billion years old.
Michael Feast from the University of Cape Town, South Africa, announces his
conclusion about the Cepheids at a meeting devoted to Hipparcos at the Royal
Astronomical Society in London today (14 February 1997). It will provoke
much comment and controversy, because the scale and age of the Universe is
the touchiest issue in cosmology.
The best hope for confirming or modifying the result now rests with studies
using Hipparcos data on other kinds of variable stars. An investigation of
the variables called Miras, by Floor van Leeuwen of Royal Greenwich
Observatory, Cambridge, and his colleagues, is described at the same London
meeting. Full scientific reports on both the Cepheids and Miras have been
accepted for publication in a leading journal, the Monthly Notices of the
Royal Astronomical Society.
European teams of scientists and engineers conceived and launched the unique
Hipparcos satellite, which operated from 1989 to 1993. Hipparcos fixed
precise positions in the sky of 120,000 stars (Hipparcos Catalogue) and
logged a million more with a little less accuracy (Tycho Catalogue). Since
1993 the largest computations in the history of astronomy have reconciled
the observations, to achieve a hundredfold improvement in the accuracy of
star positions compared with previous surveys.
Slight seasonal shifts in stellar positions as the Earth orbits the Sun,
called parallaxes, give the first direct measurements of the distances of
large numbers of stars. With the overall calculations completed, the harvest
of scientific discoveries has begun. Among those delighted with the
immediate irruption into cosmology, from this spacecraft made in Europe, is
ESA's director of science, Roger Bonnet.
"When supporters of the Hipparcos project argued their case," Bonnet
recalls, "they were competing with astrophysical missions with more obvious
glamour. But they promised remarkable consequences for all branches of
astronomy. And already we see that even the teams using the Hubble Space
Telescope will benefit from a verdict from Hipparcos on the distance scale
that underpins all their reckonings of the expansion of the Universe."
Nearby Cepheids are typically 1000-2000 light-years away. They are too far
for even Hipparcos to obtain very exact distance measurements, but by taking
twenty-six examples and comparing them, Michael Feast and his colleague
Robin Catchpole of RGO Cambridge arrive at consistent statistics. These
define the relationship between the period and the luminosity, needed to
judge the distances of Cepheids. The zero point is for an imaginary Cepheid
pulsating once a day. This would be a star 300 times more luminous than the
Sun, according to the Hipparcos data. The slowest Cepheid in the sample,
l Carinae, has a period of 36 days and is equivalent to 18,000 suns.
Applied to existing data on Cepheids seen in nearby galaxies, the Hipparcos
result increases their distances. It pushes the Large Magellanic Cloud away,
from 163,000 light-years, the previously accepted value, to 179,000
light-years with the Hipparcos Cepheid corrections, an increase of 10 per
cent. Feast and Catchpole feed this result back to our own Milky Way Galaxy,
and into calculations of the age of globular clusters, which harbour some of
the oldest stars of the Universe.
The reckoning involves another kind of variable star, the RR Lyraes, and the
Hipparcos investigators arrive at an age of 11 billion years for the oldest
stars. Other estimates of the oldest stars assigned to them an age of 14.6
billion years. This seemed, absurdly, to leave them older than the Universe
A team of astronomers using the Hubble Space Telescope recently declared the
Universe to be only 9-12 billion years old. The Hipparcos Cepheid result
increases that Hubble-inferred cosmic lifespan to 10-13 billion years.
"I hope we've cured a nonsensical contradiction that was a headache for
cosmologists," Michael Feast says. "We judge the Universe to be a little
bigger and therefore a little older, by about a billion years. The oldest
stars seem to be much younger than supposed, by about 4 billion years. If we
can settle on an age of the Universe at, say, 12 billion years then
everything will fit nicely."
Feast and Catchpole have also cleared up a mystery about the nearest and
most familiar Cepheid variable. This is Polaris, the Pole Star.
Imperceptibly to the human eye, its brightness varies at a relatively high
rate, every 3 days. That should make it, by the Cepheid rule, a feebler star
than it appears to be.
Hipparcos fixes the distance of Polaris at 430 light-years, and the
researchers conclude that Polaris pulsates with an overtone, at a rate 40
per cent faster than expected for a Cepheid of its size and luminosity.
Several other Cepheids gauged by Hipparcos also exhibit overtones. Were
these not recognized as fast pulsators they would give false impressions in
the Cepheid distance scale.
Hipparcos fixes Mira's distance at 420 light-years. Other astronomers have
gauged the apparent width of the star, as seen from the ground, so the
Hipparcos team can compute the diameter of Mira as 650 million kilometres --
somewhat wider than the orbit of Mars. If the Sun were in Mira's state it
would swallow up the Earth and all of the inner planets.
Astronomers knew that Mira was big, but the Hipparcos result confirms that
it is too large to be oscillating in a simple fashion. Again its variation
is an overtone, and the same is true of some other variable stars of the
same type, known collectively as the Miras.
The sixteen Miras in the survey are mostly 300-1000 light-years away, at
distances more comfortably within the grasp of Hipparcos parallaxes. Before
Hipparcos, there was only one fairly good measurement of a Mira distance,
for the star R Leonis. Even in that case, Hipparcos adjusts the distance
from 390 to 330 light-years.
Patricia Whitelock of the South African Astronomical Observatory played a
prominent part in the Mira study. In preparation for the Hipparcos data,
observations of selected Miras from South Africa and Russia, with infrared
instruments, assessed the extent to which they are dimmed by dust. Taking
this effect into account, as well as the occurrence of overtones, the team
arrives at a cosmic distance scale. As with the Cepheids, they can deduce
distances by comparing the brightness of a Mira with its period of
variation.
Applied to the Large Magellanic Cloud, where Miras have been detected, the
Hipparcos Mira scale puts the galaxy at 166,000 or 171,000 light-years,
depending on the method of calculation preferred. This result is
intermediate between the commonly accepted distance to the Large Magellanic
Cloud and the new result from the Hipparcos Cepheid scale.
"Frankly the Cepheids are at the limit of the useful range of Hipparcos, for
distance measurements," comments Floor van Leeuwen. "And as for the Miras,
ours is the very first attempt to gauge the absolute distance to another
galaxy via parallax measurements on this type of star. So I think we should
be grateful to Hipparcos, that our earliest answers are in the right
ballpark and in fairly good agreement, without being hasty in drawing
cosmological conclusions."
Further Hipparcos studies of variable stars, including the RR Lyraes, are in
progress. Also relevant to the distance scale are differing quantities of
heavy elements present in stars of different ages, which can affect their
luminosities. Any remaining confusion on this point will be dispelled by
mainstream Hipparcos research devoted to the basic astrophysics of stars of
different ages of origin, and at different stages of their life cycles.
"Until Hipparcos, the cosmic distance scale rested on well-informed
guesses," Michael Perryman says. "The distances we now have, for stars of
many kinds, provide for the very first time a firm foundation from which to
gauge the distances of galaxies. The work has only just begun. If it should
turn out that the Cepheids have given the final answer straight away, that
might be surprising. But there will be no reason for astonishment when
Hipparcos's direct measurements of stellar distances lead to a revised scale
for the Universe."
The Hipparcos Cepheid scale is due to be debated in London today and in
Seattle on 17 February, when Michael Feast will speak at the annual meeting
the American Association for the Advancement of Science. It will also be one
of the hot topics at ESA's Hipparcos Symposium in Venice,13-16 May.
The Venice meeting will celebrate the release of the Hipparcos and Tycho
Catalogues to the world-wide astronomical community. It will also offer the
first overview of results obtained by the groups who have had early access
to the data, by virtue of their contributions to the Hipparcos mission. The
subjects range from the Solar System and the Sun's neighbours among the
stars, through special stars and the shape and behaviour of the Milky Way
Galaxy, to the link between the starry sky of Hipparcos and the wide
Universe of galaxies and quasars.
Further notifications about the Venice Symposium will be distributed to the
press in due course. Meanwhile information about Hipparcos is accessible on
the World Wide Web:
http://astro.estec.esa.nl/Hipparcos/hipparcos.html.
Distant Exploding Stars Foretell Fate Of The Universe: It Will Expand Forever
BERKELEY, CA -- New studies of exploding stars in the farthest reaches
of deep space indicate that the universe will expand forever, according to
findings of the Supernova Cosmology Project, an international team of
astrophysicists based at the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory.
April 14, 1997Caltech Astronomer Obtains Data That Could Resolve the "Age Problem"
PASADENA -- A California Institute of Technology astronomer has obtained
data that could resolve the "age problem" of the universe, in which certain
stars appear to be older than the universe itself.
Paris, FranceESA's Hipparcos satellite revises the scale of the cosmos
The observable Universe may be about 10 per cent larger than astronomers
have supposed, according to early results from the European Space Agency's
Hipparcos mission. Investigators claim that the measuring ruler used since
1912 to gauge distances in the cosmos was wrongly marked.The pulse-rates of the stars
Cepheid stars alternately squeeze themselves and relax, like a beating
heart. They wax and wane rhythmically in brightness, every few days or
weeks, at a rate that depends on their luminosity. Henrietta Leavitt at the
Harvard College Observatory discovered in the early years of this century
that bigger and more brilliant Cepheids vary with a longer period, according
to a strict rule. It allows astronomers to gauge relative distances simply
by taking the pulse-rates of the Cepheids and measuring their apparent
brightnesses.The miraculous stars
Another famous variable star pulsates at more than twice the frequency that
theorists would expect. This is Mira, the prototype of the class of stars
investigated by Floor van Leeuwen and his colleagues, using the Hipparcos
data. To an unaided eye, Omicron Ceti appears and disappears in a cycle of
11 months. In the 17th Century astronomers named it Mira, the miraculous
star. Astrophysicists today interpret Mira as a senile star slightly more
massive than the Sun. It has swollen into a red giant and started
oscillating, as a prelude to greater instabilities that will in due course
fling the outer layers of the star into space.Only the beginning
Michael Perryman, ESA's project scientist for Hipparcos, anticipates a warm
debate among astronomers. Should the Hipparcos Cepheid results be taken at
face value, with all their implications for the size and age of the
Universe? He remains confident that the issue will be settled by other
results quarried from the Hipparcos data.
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